Torakus wrote:Are you sure? Are you telling me that you have access to the daily sitrep? I won't suggest you are talking out your ass, but you are talking about issues where you don't have and won't get all of the information. Can't say much more because it is SSI.
Yes. I'm 100% positive. The day the TSA catches a bona-fide terrorist they will have the PR field day of the century.
Torakus wrote:I would think the majority of passengers disagree. They are not terrorized to fly. In fact people feel downright safe while flying, so the fact that no successful attacks have happened since people starting being screened means the terror isn't working and the money spent is well spent.
I don't think they feel "safe" at all. You only have to see the looks that someone in a turban gets on a plane to know that terrorism is and remains at the front of people's minds, in a large part due to the government's insistence on justifying the trillions spent on a largely ineffective war on terror.
Torakus wrote:TSA cooperates with the air carriers and indeed the TDC (travel document check) catches forged boarding passes all of the time and they are referred to LE and are not permitted into the sterile area. So again you or your source of information don't quite have all the facts. I do agree that the 3-1-1 rule needs to go. We have the technology in place to scan liquids of any size for explosives, but I will let you in on a dirty little secret; the airports are making money off of TSA not letting them through, which forces the passengers to buy airport vendor's products.
I have no doubt there's lots of money to be made from the various bannings, which is why I am completely skeptical of all but the most obvious.
On the TDC, you'd have to be pretty stupid to make a boarding pass that wasn't perfect. Unless procedures have changed and the TSA is doing more than a visual comparison between boarding pass and passport then it's, uh, trivial to share a home-printed pass between as many people as you like with about ten minutes in effort in Photoshop to change the name and appropriate codes.
Torakus wrote:But it would take a pretty well planned and executed attack to get multiple people on the plane with rigged batteries.
I agree, but that's the precise threat model here. 9/11 was pretty well planned and executed with full knowledge of the security systems they were going through to defeat. It's why the checkpoints are largely useless against any well planned attack - there's so many gaps because you can't check every specific threat, which leaves it as primarily theater to justify the budget and not to actually improve safety.
I will say though that some things have impressed me - the TSA's continued persistence in random additional screening in the face of pressure to stop "screening grandmas" and the fact that the TSA does value the ability of their officers to pick up unusual behavior outside the screening area. Those both work against the unknown future attacks rather than the static screenings targetting known vectors which fail against novel attacks.
Torakus wrote:Considering that the RAPISCAN machines are export controlled it is a pretty good assumption that no terrorists have them to run trials. I can't claim that backscatter is flawless, but it doesn't have the huge gaping security holes that you think and ATR is rolling out as we speak on them which eliminates the black background causing hard objects outside the body image from being missed.
It's a complete fallacy to think hardware is unavailable to a determined and well-funded adversary. I hope you're not seriously suggesting that every single person involved in the RAPISCAN production is 100% secure, much less that every deployment of it around the globe is secure. It's not like the physics behind backscatter X-Rays is particularly "secret". In any case, the TSA provides a perfect dry run scenario anyway. Try stuff with random mules to see what gets picked and what doesn't. We're not talking lone idiots here, we're talking well funded and determined adversaries.
Ddrak wrote:I am not sure what airports you are flying in, but he checkpoint has an ebb and flood at larger category X airports. The one exception that I can think of is SFO which is not staffed by TSA, it is a private security company call CAS.
Pittsburgh, LAX and Vegas mostly (from memory). Busy time of day the queue expanded to at least a thousand people waiting in a tightly packed zig-zag line. A suitcase or two of Semtex and nails would be just perfect in the middle of that.
Now, compare that with Singapore or Amsterdam where they screen at the gate lounge with a much shorter queue and much smaller secure area to actually be worried about...
Like I said, I think the TSA has an impossible role. The external political imperative is to stop 100% of threats, known and unknown. The internal political imperative is to continue to be funded in the wake of terrorists having much better targets running around in their home countries to bother too much about the US which means being as visible and in-your-face as possible. The moral imperative is to make the best use of taxpayer's money, which would largely put the TSA as invisible because the best work is unpredictable observation and not routine screening and more importantly would require the acknowledgement that it's impossible to be 100% secure. The three imperatives are incompatible.
Dd